RESETTING THE NORMS FOR INTERNATIONAL DEAL-MAKING…
(…by threats of economic blunderbuss blasts and corrosive quick-lime invectives for emphasis)

President Trump’s executive order to withdraw from the Iranian nuclear deal has reset the norms for international deal-making.

Rather than applying conventional diplomatic stilettos to achieve intended objectives, he has decided to adapt his-Art of the Deal- used in his conduct of business and apply that instead. How well that might work is anyone’s guess, except to say that right now it scares the crap out of everyone because it more resembles the negotiating style of the likes of Dutch Schultz, Buggsy Siegel, and the O’Bannions than anything else.

So, after almost three quarters of a century, the international diplomatic order of things has been tossed on its ear and replaced by threats of economic blunderbuss blasts well-powdered with corrosive quick-lime invectives for emphasis.

It’s a reflection of how the world’s power structure has changed since the start of this 21st Century of ours. A change in which there have now emerged three major nodes of autocratic rule in it…Czar Vladimir in Russia…Emperor Xi in China…and now Boss Trump here in America.

All of which leaves us asking ourselves if we’ve somehow stepped through the looking glass and wondering if we’ve strayed into either a burlesque or vaudeville performance on the other side of it, where our President is playing two alternate roles…Groucho Marx one day…Harpo Marx the next.

In a more serious vein, however, let’s examine what are the real motivations and factors behind such a move. At the risk of being tagged as belonging to the Conspiracy School of History, the following seem to be the main ones involved behind it, as if plucked from a scenario with more convolutions than anything ever produced by the court of ancient Byzantium. Among these we have:

1)The main reason Russia meddled in America’s 2016 elections and favored Trump was because its in-depth analysis of his ego-centric and mercurial character suggested his would be the most disruptive hands to have at the helm of its ship of state, to cause maximum disarray and distraction within it, and create wedges of disunity between it and its Western allies. Thus, leaving Czar Vladimir to pursue his agendas with little or not obstruction from anyone.
2)Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahou’s extreme view of Iran as an existential threat (almost as paranoid as Pakistan’s view of India) used as leverage to further strengthen American support for his One State agenda to resolve the Palestinian issue.
3)Saudi Arabian and Gulf States’ similar fears of encroaching Iranian hegemony in the region threatening their holds on power, using the leverage of offering to spend their collective billions to buy American high-end arms systems for their arsenals.
4)America’s own continuing antipathies toward Iran because of the effrontery and style the Ayatollah regime used to throw it out of Iran, after having overthrown its puppet Pahlevi regime.

To what extent any or all of these factors played a part in this decision by President Trump is anyone’s guess, but it’s difficult to see how such a move gains America much of anything from it.
Any attempts to unilaterally impose American sanctions against Iran are quite likely to be circumvented one way or the other, and so have minimal impact upon it.

For example, India will remain the largest importer of Iranian oil, regardless. So will China. Odds are no secondary sanctions could be imposed on them since that would upset America’s economic interests with these. Nor could it establish a naval blockade at the strait of Oman, without risking turning almost all of East Asia against American interests in the Pacific region. As for European interests, as usual, these would find ways and means of subverting such sanctions for their own benefit.

The end result for America would be to reveal to the rest of the world that, despite being the only 800 pound gorilla still at large in it, it was largely impotent when it came to exerting its influence in such matters.

That’s not a very optimistic outlook for the future of its continuing status as a world power.

CENTURION